Oil prices settle in mixed direction on conflicting reports of US-Iran ceasefire deal

Oil prices settle in mixed direction on conflicting reports of US-Iran ceasefire deal


Traffic through the maritime chokepoint remains a small fraction of the pre-war level

Published Fri, May 29, 2026 · 06:15 AM

[NEW YORK] Oil prices settled mixed on Thursday (May 28) after a choppy trading session, as traders mulled conflicting reports of progress on a potential deal to extend a ceasefire between the US and Iran.

Brent crude futures for July, which expire on Friday’s settlement, closed down 58 US cents, or 0.6 per cent, at US$93.71 a barrel. The more actively traded August Brent futures were last trading up by 72 US cents at US$92.97 as at 3.20 pm EDT (1720 GMT).

US oil futures eked out marginal gains to settle up 22 cents, or 0.3 per cent, at US$88.90 a barrel.

Oil prices have been volatile in recent sessions on conflicting signals on the possibility of an end to the three-month Iran war and potential re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic through the maritime chokepoint remains a small fraction of the pre-war level.

An agreement had been reached to extend the ceasefire in the Middle East for 60 days, four sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. News outlet Axios first reported about the deal on Thursday.

The agreement still needs US President Donald Trump’s approval, sources told Reuters. Iran’s Tasnim news agency, meanwhile, said that the text of a potential memorandum of understanding with the US has not yet been finalised or confirmed.

In early trading, Brent and WTI futures were up more than 2 per cent, after Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said they had targeted a US air base in response to a US attack on the port city of Bandar Abbas.

“The complex continues to advance grudgingly on bullish developments out of Iran while plunging markedly on even the slightest suggestion of a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz,” oil trading advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates said.

“This contrast in responses to bullish and bearish inputs could continue as long as the ceasefire remains intact.”

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Oil prices were also under pressure from official US data that showed the country’s crude oil stockpiles fell by 3.3 million barrels last week, a sixth consecutive week of declines but lower than the 4.1-million-barrel draw analysts polled by Reuters expected.

US petrol and distillate fuel stockpiles also fell.

The oil market remains more sensitive to Middle East headlines despite another week of large declines in US stockpiles, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. REUTERS

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Nathan Pine

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