November forecast: What to expect when fall wraps up

November forecast: What to expect when fall wraps up


AUSTIN (KXAN) — Sure it hasn’t felt like fall has even started in Central Texas, but we’re already getting a look at the forecast for the final month of meteorological fall. A reminder, meteorological winter begins Dec. 1 and lasts through the end of February.

The preliminary November forecast was just released on Thursday from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, and it calls for near normal rainfall, but a continuation of above average temperatures.

November Rainfall Outlook (CPC)
November is expected to be warmer than normal for most of the south and southwestern United States according to the Climate Prediction Center
November Temperature Outlook (CPC)

What is normal in November?

November high temperatures typically drop from the upper 70s to start the month down into the upper 60s by the end of the month.

Lows typically drop from the mid 50s into the mid 40s by late in the month.

November is usually our fourth coolest month of the year and our sixth wettest month with 2.92″ of rain on average.

Graphic showing November averages for Austin
November normals for Austin/Camp Mabry

Drought keeps worsening

The most updated Drought Monitor shows the introduction of ‘Extreme’ Level 3 out of 4 drought into parts of the Austin metro as our rapidly worsening drought continued.

Drought worsened across parts of the Austin metro this week
Drought this week versus last week

Without wetter-than-normal conditions to counteract our recent drying, we don’t anticipate any meaningful improvements in the drought next month.



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Sophie Clearwater

Vancouver-based environmental journalist, writing about nature, sustainability, and the Pacific Northwest.

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